Bleaching  According to the Climate models use by VMGD, the current coral bleaching alert for Shefa province is in no stress alert level for Efate.
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El Nino Southern Oscillation  The 2021–22 La (long period of extreme rainfall) has reach an end with majority of indicators currently at neutral levels. How ever some models suggested that la Nina may reform later in 2022. As a result, the Bureaus ENSO status has move to La Nina Watch. This means there is around 50% chance of La Nina forming later in 2022.
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Rainfall  Rainfall forecast for Shefa Province will be above normal until 8 July 2022. chances for the forecast to happen is high(60 to 70%).
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Sea Surface Temperature  above normal sea surface temperatures will be expected over Shefa province island groups in June 2022.
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-- Synoptic site