Vanuatu Synoptic Stations

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Vanuatu Current Climate Status

Bleaching

Bleaching and FisheriesNo stress on corals over Vanuatu waters is expected in November. This means there is no potential bleaching expected at this time. Alert level is expected to rise to WATCH in December, and WARNING in January 2021. This means potential bleaching is likely in January 2021.

El Nino Southern Oscillation

El Nino Southern Oscillation ENSO updateLa Niña continues in the tropical Pacific and is likely to continue at least into February 2021. Ocean and atmospheric indicators all remain at La Niña levels, except for the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), which has moved back to neutral possibly due to a passing MJO event. SOI is expected to return to La Niña levels in the coming weeks. La Niña is likely to peak in December, and is expected to be moderate to strong. Rainfall is likely to be above average for much of the country during this time.

Rainfall

Rainfall and WaterRainfall is expected to be above-normal for much of the country for the November 2020 to January 2021 period.

Sea Surface Temperature

Sea Surface Temperature and FisheriesSea surface temperatures have been above-normal for much of the country in October. SSTs are likely to remain above average for the November 2020 to January 2021 period.